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Analysis of EU & Black Sea wheat markets following Wasde

The USDA, in its Wasde crop report yesterday, highlighted the dent to the EU’s wheat export fortunes from strengthened competition from Russia, whose strong 2023 harvest and low prices have enabled “unabated shipments”.

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Weekly Oilseed Outlook

Highlights:

• Rapeseed - Crude oil, weather, politics stir up price volatility
• Soybeans - Argentine harvest, US sowings keep market stable
• Crop Watch - Europe’s weather to turn drier?

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Global Barley Outlook – EU area under threat

The persistence of wetness in western Europe has added support to the outlook for barley prices.

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Weekly Grain Outlook

Report Highlights:

• Wheat - Prices find support, as geopolitical jitters grow
• Corn - Early signs positive for US corn, but harvest a way off yet
• Crop Condition & Weather - European outlook for May and June

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Weekly Oilseed Outlook

Highlights:

• Rapeseed - New crop prices outperform, as EU worries mount
• Soybeans - Market weighs Argentine harvest and US sowings
• Crop Watch - Australia’s east-west moisture divide

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Weekly Grain Outlook

Report Highlights:

• Wheat - Prices hold steady, digesting signals on 2024 prospects
• Corn - US area figure sparks, short-lived, price rebound
• Crop Condition & Weather - US wheat ratings, Australia outlook

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March USDA Prospective Plantings

Overview of the March US Prospective Plantings report from the USDA

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Weekly Oilseed Outlook

Highlights:

• Rapeseed - Signs of tighter supplies lift prices to five-month high
• Soybeans - Market conditions calm, but does a storm lie ahead?
• Crop Watch - Southern Russian dryness gains market attention

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Weekly Grain Outlook

Report Highlights:

• Wheat - Prices bounce, as Black Sea supply risks mount
• Corn - futures mark time, awaiting key US sowings report
• Crop Condition & Weather - Rains cease in southern Russia

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Weekly Oilseed Outlook

Highlights:

• Rapeseed - Canada sowings tighten supply expectations a notch
• Soybeans - Sluggish meal market caps soybean price recovery
• Crop Watch - US Midwest’s east-west soil moisture divide

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